The US Stock market is set for a historic crash.
AND BOOM! The House Of Cards Falls
June 3 (King World News) – Gregory Mannarino, writing for the Trends Journal: A “split” is developing in the markets across the board.
MAJOR KEY POINTS.
1. Record highs are the price.
2. “Smart Money” de-risking positioning IS RISING.
3. The contradiction is the warning.
Let’s break this down.
With stocks at record highs, major institutional money is positioning for a major “de-risking event” through cash, bonds, sector rotation, hedges, and selective exposure… rather than broad risk appetite.
MAJOR KEY POINT.
1. U.S. equity funds saw $12.05 billion of outflows in the week to May 20.
2. U.S. bond funds took in $12.5 billion.
3. And money-market funds took in $12.04 billion.
That is called “defensive rotation.”
And globally, equity funds had their first weekly outflow in nine weeks.
A MASSIVE CASH PILE. Money market fund assets are at $7.77 trillion dollars, “SITTING IN CASH.”
Asset fund managers DO NOT sit in cash to the tune of $7.77 trillion for nothing.
A Further Breakdown.
Record stock market highs are being carried by “selective risk,” but it‘s enough to push stocks higher…. FOR NOW.
“Selective Risk.” Hedge funds have been slamming cash into tech/AI… pushing held tech positions to record highs and with valuations far above the DOT-COM era.
MAJOR KEY POINT(S):
1. That means indexes can look strong, all while the underlying market becomes more concentrated and more fragile.
2. Currently a small group of mega-cap stocks are doing a huge amount of the market lifting.
3. The index is highly concentrated, and concentration creates fragility. (The main names are Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, Broadcom, Meta, Tesla, Micron).
That concentration creates “shock risk” in the market, because if these leaders stumble, especially Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, Broadcom, or Meta, the index can lose support very quickly.
AND ALL THESE COMPANIES ARE HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON LOW RATES.
Tech/AI mega-caps are “long-duration” assets; that means a MAJOR PART of their value is based on future earnings expectations. So… when bond yields spike, the market discounts those future earnings harshly.
FINAL MAJOR KEY POINT. Tech is HIGHLY rate-sensitive FULL-STOP… so in the event of a bond market sell-off/uncontrolled spike in bond yields… these tech companies supporting the market will get hit………………… AND BOOM!
The house of cards falls.
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To listen to James Turk discuss China paying massive premiums for physical silver as well as what surprises are happening in the gold and mining share markets CLICK HERE OR ON THE IMAGE BELOW.
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