Today one of the greats in the business said all-time record outflows from stocks took place on the recent panic selling.
Investors flee, with record outflows
June 7 (King World News) – Jason Goepfert at SentimenTrader: Investors flee, with record sector ETF outflows.
Key points:
- In May, investors were busy selling sector ETFs, with a record outflow of more than $10 billion
- As a percentage of assets, May’s outflow ranked as the 6th-largest in more than 22 years
- Discretionary, Financial, and Industrial sectors saw the worst outflows over the past year
A record month for sector outflows
Investors weren’t kidding around in May. They got scared – panicked, even – and voted with their feet. There were plenty of signs that sentiment toward stocks (and bonds) was washed out, and those signs keep piling up…
To find out which gold & copper explorer just hit significant mineralization click here or on the image below
In May alone, investors pulled more than $10 billion from sector ETFs. Few sectors were spared. Financials bore the brunt of the redemptions, with more than $5.2 billion pulled from funds like XLF, VFH, and KRE. Health Care was one of the few to see inflows and the only substantial one.
The total outflow of $10.6 billion was the worst since at least the year 2000. No month in over 20 years had seen a more concentrated exodus.
Obviously, markets have grown since 2000, so total assets under management (AUM) have also increased. As a percentage of AUM, May’s outflow was still substantial, the 6th-largest out of the past 269 months.
Returns in the S&P 500 were good after other months when investors pulled more than 1% of assets from sector ETFs. While this occurred right before a steep drop in 2008 and before the final plunge in early 2009, other signals saw almost universally positive returns. Of course, that was during a mostly rising market, so it was easier to show a positive return.
Investors sell Discretionary, Financial, and Industrial sectors to historic degrees
Sector returns after these signals were a sea of green, with the darkest colors (more extreme returns) belonging to some of the higher-beta groups. Technology did well, as did the more general Cyclical, Large-Cap, and Growth factors.
The rolling 12-month flows among the sectors show wild dispersion. Some are at or near 20-year lows (Discretionary, Financials, Industrials – not surprisingly, those heavily influenced by rising rates), while others are at or near the opposite extreme (Staples, Health Care, Technology, Utilities). There is a modest contrary tint to sector ETF flows, with massive outflows being more of a bullish sign than extreme inflows are a bearish one.
What the research tells us…
May finally managed to be a slight reprieve to many investors, as stock and bond markets tried to find a bottom as selling pressure ebbed from historic extremes. During the early part of the month, sentiment stretched to an atrocious level, and it wasn’t just in surveys. Investors did what they said they would do, which is to sell. The good part about that is the selling was so heavy that it suggests an extreme. That should help with the idea of a relief rally in the weeks or months ahead. This is another example of why Jason Goepfert is the best in the world at what he does – providing actionable market data. To subscribe to the internationally acclaimed work Goepfert produces at SentimenTrader CLICK HERE.
JUST RELEASED: LAST TIME THIS HAPPENED GOLD ROCKETED: Market Liquidity Now Approaching 2020 Collapse Lows CLICK HERE.
JUST RELEASED: Fear Is Building As This Setup Brought Down Bear Stearns & Lehman In 2008 Collapse CLICK HERE.
JUST RELEASED: The New World Order Will Be Backed By Gold CLICK HERE.
***To listen to Michael Oliver discuss the carnage in global markets, fiat currencies being on the verge of collapse as well as what to expect for the gold and silver markets CLICK HERE OR ON THE IMAGE BELOW.
***To listen to Alasdair Macleod discuss the collapsing global economy and crack-up boom CLICK HERE OR ON THE IMAGE BELOW.
© 2022 by King World News®. All Rights Reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. However, linking directly to the articles is permitted and encouraged.
