Investors need to buckle up because the price of gold is headed back above $5,000.
Gold
August 12 (King World News) – Peter Schiff: Gold is trading at $4,412, up $45 this evening. We are getting back to strength coming during Asian trading hours, which is the way it was prior to the correction that started when the Iran war broke out. The correction is clearly over. Gold will likely soon be back above $5,000.
Gold Has Found A Fresh Bid
Ole Hansen, Head of Commodity Strategy at SaxoBank: “A dangerous view is creeping into the markets that the US has already gone so far down the path of a debt compound trap that it dare not raise interest rates to control inflation”.
Probably part of the explanation for why gold has found a fresh bid despite 10-year U.S. real yields trading just a few basis points below their 2008 high, and why ETF demand is showing signs of a comeback. telegraph.co.uk/gift/95eced66c…
Listen to the greatest Egon von Greyerz audio interview ever
by CLICKING HERE OR ON THE IMAGE BELOW.
Frankenstein Version Of The 1970s: Inflation, Iran War, Higher Gas Prices, Civil Unrest…
Gregory Mannarino, writing for the Trends Journal: Let’s cut right into this.
The financial consequences and failure to capture a victory for the US in this war with Iran are just beginning to migrate from geopolitics… directly into markets.
Oil is surging…
Why?
Because the market is realizing that reopening the strait, EVEN WITH THE US CONCEDING CONTROL TO IRAN-OMAN, may not be the outcome anyone wanted.
Iran continues to link allowing a reopening of the strait to MORE US concessions.
Trump has responded with counter demands. Trump said Monday that Iran should pay compensation for damage spanning roughly 50 years. (Lions this rhetoric from Trump is a desperate face-saving failure act, and will not happen.
MAJOR KEY POINT. Trump has already agreed to sweeping concessions to Iran, along with signing an agreement to pay Iran $300 billion as a rebuild (Make Iran Great Again).
MIGA
Trump floated out this “repatriation” rhetoric, in what will prove to be another failed attempt to save face due to the abject failure on an epic scale not just before the American people, but before the world.
In life, when you put yourself into a hole, (AND IT HAPPENS TO ALL OF US…) STOP DIGGING.
Now the chain reaction is straightforward.
Oil higher, inflation risk higher, US Treasury yields higher, pressure on equities and the broader economy. America/the American people will pay again.
The world is just starting to reprice American power. (And it will worsen from here).
Global markets have functioned on an “assumption…” An assumption that the US could protect the freedom of navigation of global commerce. And able to impose enough military, financial, and diplomatic pressure to restore it when threatened.
MAJOR KEY POINT. This war has exposed that assumption to be false.
As you already know, the proposed “arrangement” between the US and Iran gives Iran control over vessels entering the Gulf, while Oman will manage their exit.
This in and of itself, means US perceived military superiority is nothing but a paper tiger… and there will be, and already are, consequences.
Then comes the CONfidence problem.
Foreign nations/governments will now conclude that US cannot guarantee global trade routes on its own terms, therefore…. they have an incentive to hedge. (And they already are).
MAJOR KEY POINT. That means foreign nations will build their own defense systems, regional alliances, payment networks, trade relationships and reserve strategies.
THIS IS ALREADY HAPPENING. We are already seeing the opening act. Iran itself has welcomed the new Saudi Turkey Pakistan security agreement/pact as regional states are assuming more responsibility for their own security rather than depending exclusively on outside powers.
That translates to this… nations are become less dependent upon the US.
And that is where the geopolitical power shift story becomes a financial story.
MAJOR KEY POINT. Security “independence” WILL LEAD TO financial independence.
Once nations become less dependent on the US for security, they have fewer reasons to remain dependent upon the US dollar, US banks, US Treasury debt, and a US controlled payment infrastructure.
With that. The fallout here cannot be overstated. And that is how financial supremacy erodes.
Final Major Key Point. The greatest consequence of the Iran war will ultimately have nothing to do with territory conquered or weapons destroyed.
It will be that the world has discovered that US military dominance no longer guarantees US control of the outcome… and markets are just beginning to price in that discovery.
This will hit everything.
We now are going to witness/are witnessing, a global power shift and restructuring the likes of which has not been seen in centuries.
Gold & Silver Breakout!
To listen to the always brilliant Tavi Costa discuss why gold is surging strongly and what to expect next from gold, silver and the mining stocks CLICK HERE OR ON THE IMAGE BELOW.
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To listen to Alasdair Macleod discuss the historic upside breakout that just took place in gold, silver and the mining stocks as well as what to expect next CLICK HERE OR ON THE IMAGE BELOW.
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