How much longer can this continue as big stock sales threaten the bull market in stocks.
How Much Longer?
July 22 (King World News) – Peter Schiff: Oil prices and bond yields continue to rise, with oil above $85 and yields on 10- and 30-year Treasuries now at 4.63% & 5.14%, respectively. These trends will likely continue and are bearish for the economy and corporate earnings. How much longer can stock investors ignore this?
Big Stock Sales Threaten Bull Market
Gerald Celente: In the last few weeks, equity markets have been swamped by deals of a size rarely seen. Alphabet raised $85 billion, SpaceX went public at $75 billion, and South Korean chipmaker SK Hynix issued $26 billion in American depository receipts.
The massive issues are “a reflection of an environment of optimism in the business sector and that investors don’t want to miss out,” James Paulsen, former chief strategist at Leuthold Group, explained in a Wall Street Journal interview. “In the extreme, that’s a sign that things are overdone.”
When the supply of stocks surpasses demand, that historically has signaled an end to stocks’ uptrend. Companies rushed to sell stocks in late 1999 and early 2000, which many analysts say contributed to the death of the dot-com stock craze. Now companies are taking advantage of investors’ euphoria in the same way.
“Stock issuance tends to surge in the late stages of a bull market,” Rob Arnott, chair of Research Affiliates, confirmed in a WSJ interview.
This year through 15 July, investors have bought $344.78 billion in new shares, more than the annual totals in 2022, 2023, 2024, or 2025, data service Dealogic reported. Also, corporations have slowed their pace of repurchasing their own stock, which leaves more shares clogging the market.
With AI giants Anthropic and OpenAI planning their own offerings, U.S. companies are expected to issue a net $500 billion in new shares over the next 12 months, consulting firm Elm Wealth calculated. In contrast, over the past few years $1 trillion worth of shares has been removed from the market as corporations bought back their own stock.
Some of the new tide of stock issues will come from AI hyperscalers, some analysts are forecasting.
Companies building out AI infrastructure are selling shares to meet their projected $800 billion in capital expenditures this year, a figure that will surpass $1 trillion in 2027, according to Janus Henderson Investors.
“Many of the hyperscalers are beginning to undo years of carefully manicured capital allocation, with share buybacks now making way for share issues,” John Lloyd, Janus’s chief of multisector credit, said to the WSJ.
Before AI, companies such as Alphabet and Oracle “were extraordinary cash businesses with little debt and that focused on [stock] buybacks,” he added. “That’s all changed.”
TREND FORECAST:
The flood of oversized initial offerings is signaling that the artificially pumped-up bull market that has been running since early in 2023 is another signal of our trend forecast of a Dot-com Bust 2.0.
One Of The Largest Silver Miners Says They Can No Longer Satisfy Demand
To listen to Nomi Prins discuss one of the largest silver miners on the planet telling her they can no longer satisfy physical demand from India, China, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, etc, CLICK HERE OR ON THE IMAGE BELOW.
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To listen to Alasdair Macleod’s discuss gold and silver carving out a bottom along with the mining stocks and more CLICK HERE OR ON THE IMAGE BELOW.
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