Apparently once people figure it out oil and gold will be trading much higher.

Once people figure it out oil and gold will be much higher
March 5 (King World News) – Peter Schiff:  Investors seem to be assuming a short and successful war. While that would be the ideal outcome, I think the probability is low. Once the markets start to price in a more pessimistic outcome, stocks, bonds, crypto, and the dollar will be much lower, and oil and gold much higher.

Gold tends to move first…
Otavio Costa:  Gold tends to move first. 

Copper follows. 

Energy is moving now.

Agricultural commodities are likely next.

While the focus today is on oil, rising energy prices rarely stop at the pump.

Prices eventually work their way through the entire commodity complex — with food prices often being one of the final destinations.

Let’s focus on one agricultural commodity that I believe is about to make an important move.

Another commodity moving higher…
Peter Boockvar:  We talk mostly about the transportation of oil and gas out of the Gulf but not enough about aluminum where smelters in that region make up about 10% of global supply. The price of aluminum yesterday closed at the highest level since early 2022 right after Russia invaded Ukraine.

CRB moving higher
Looking at the CRB raw industrials index, with everything going on, is just off its highest level since June 2022.

Gas price in the early stages of a big move higher
Here is a fresh chart on gasoline prices according to AAA as they rose another nickel yesterday to $3.25 and now up 4.5% y/o/y. Still pretty cheap though but we’re of course sensitive to a consumer that is tired of paying ever higher prices for things.

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