As the crude oil market continues to struggle and worries about Europe intensify, today one of the legends in the business sent King World News a warning about a developing crisis that could send Europe and the world into turmoil.
Portion of Art Cashin's note today: Greek Markets In Turmoil – Things in Athens continue borderline chaotic. The Greek stock market is down the equivalent of 2500 Dow points since Friday. Here's a nice synopsis from my friend Peter Boockvar over at the Lindsey Group:
Any thought of pragmatism from the newly elected Greek government is quickly being thrown out the window. But, when you elect Marxists, this I guess is what you get. Greek capital markets are under major stress again today as they are losing faith that the negotiated process from here on with debts and budgets will go smoothly.
The Athens stock market is down by another 8% and lower by 14% in just 3 days. Greek banks are down by 17-20% today alone. The 3 yr note yield is higher by 295 bps to 16.98% vs 10.1% as of Friday’s close. Greek 5 yr CDS is wider by 40 bps and has risen by 400 bps over the past three days. Alexis Tsipras held his first cabinet meeting today and pledged four priorities: 1)a return to dignity for the Greek people, 2)help the economy, 3)renegotiate Greek debt, 4)Get rid of corruption in government.
He also wants to bring back a higher minimum wage just when the Greek economy needs to get more competitive. He wants to hire more government workers just as they have too many and he wants to freeze plans for privatizations just as the private sector is most needed. With respect to what everyone is most focused on, debt renegotiations, Tsipras today said “we do not want an extreme catastrophic clash…we do not want to go to mutually assured destruction but we won’t continue being subservient.”
Consensus – As noted above, there is an upward bias to FOMC days but favorable seasonals have not delivered for the bulls so far this year. With no press conference, temptation is to make few or even no changes in the wording. Hints of contagion in Europe may build a headwind. No time to let your guard down. Stay wary, alert and very, very, nimble.
***ALSO JUST RELEASED: Absolutely Shocking Developments In Gold, Stocks, Crude Oil And Currency Markets CLICK HERE.
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