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Fleckenstein:  “I don’t know when psychology will shift in the bond market, if it will go slowly or fast -- probably a combination of the two -- but I think the bond market is on borrowed time.  It’s going to take the bond market to create a question about what the Fed is doing.  Eventually the bond market will show that the Fed is trapped and that will lead to a big crisis....


Continue reading the Bill Fleckenstein interview below...  




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“That’s one I want to capture (by shorting), but we’re not there yet.


In terms of the Fed losing it’s credibility, I would think it would have to be this year because the market is engaged in a giant game of chicken right now.  The stock market is saying, ‘Go ahead and taper.  We’re not afraid of you and everything is going to be OK.’  And I don’t believe that’s the case.


I think the Fed tapering is going to create a market dislocation, at which point they will stop.  So stocks are dangerous, but I’ve had this idea for some time and stocks continue to go up.  You need something to go wrong for the discussion to begin about why the Fed policies are not effective.


So they are going to have to back off the taper, and the only way that’s going to happen is bad economic data and/or a much weaker stock market which I suspect we are going to get.”


Eric King:  “When they (the Fed) begin to back off, is that the time they lose credibility, or begin to lose it?”


Fleckenstein:  “I would think so, yeah.”


Eric King:  “How will that manifest itself?”


Fleckenstein:  “The bond market, the 10-Year, will trade through 3percent in a totally unauthorized fashion.  I’m guessing if we go through 3 percent, then at some point you will know that it matters because the bond market weakness will really start to crater equities.  And when the equity market starts to really get cratered, for whatever reason they make-up it will have to do with the tapering, and that will be what finally stops the taper.”


© 2014 by King World News®. All Rights Reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.  However, linking directly to the blog page is permitted and encouraged.


UPDATE:  Fleckenstein’s remarkable audio interview is available now and you can listen to it by CLICKING HERE.


IMPORTANT - KWN has more interviews being released today.


The audio interviews with Bill Fleckenstein, Egon von Greyerz, Dr. Paul Craig Roberts, Grant Williams, Andrew Maguire, Andrew Huszar, Michael Pento, Art Cashin, Rick Rule, David Stockman, John Mauldin and Dr. Marc Faber are available now. Other recent KWN interviews include Jim Grant and Felix Zulauf -- to listen CLICK HERE.


Eric King

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