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Richard Russell: “The fundamentals in the US and the world are enough to turn your hair gray.  Debt worldwide is out of control.  Total debt to GDP in most countries in the world is at a mind-blowing 300-400%.  It's obvious that this debt will never be repaid.  As the US continues to grow, it is forced to borrow more money. 


The Fed now owns $2.2 trillion in federal debt.  This year, in 2013, the Fed has purchased more debt than the Treasury has issued.  I could go on and on about the horrors of the debt situation.  But remember, the market is not stupid.  It contains all the information known to everybody.  This is the reason that I follow the markets so closely.  If we are heading into a brick wall, the market will know it and reflect it.


Ultimately the nation is caught in a vicious vice in which it must borrow more and more to sustain itself.  The question now is not how to generate income but where to find the safe zone.  When looking for safety investors normally make a dash for cash.  But with the Fed creating cash wholesale, the future of the dollar is in question.


A nation is as good as its currency, and a currency is as strong as a given nation.  Below we see the US Dollar.  I've applied the same rules to the dollar as I've applied to the Dow ... If the Dollar should fall apart, I would consider such an act as bearish as a crashing Dow.



 

As the purchasing power of the dollar declines, gold comes to the fore.  I see the action of gold as representing an ever expanding base.  JP Morgan currently has a large position in gold.  My advice -- follow the big money.  And there is no bigger money than JP Morgan.


Below, gold breaks down from a little consolidation pattern.  I continue to believe that gold is building a large base with support at 1280.




Late Notes -- A certain number of speculators are playing quantitative easing for all it's worth.  Thus the surge in the Dow.  These brave souls obviously believe they can exit the market on any real signs of weakness.  My subscribers and I jettisoned our DIAs when the price broke under 154.  The DIAs closed today at 150.47.  I'm satisfied, and frankly, I feel initiating a new position is too dangerous for me.  This is now a professionals market, one in which amateurs are almost guaranteed to get hurt.  Leave it alone for awhile.”


To subscribe to Richard Russell’s Dow Theory Letters CLICK HERE.


© 2013 by King World News®. All Rights Reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.  However, linking directly to the blog page is permitted and encouraged.


The audio interviews with Stephen Leeb, Bill Fleckenstein, Pierre Lassonde, Dr. Paul Craig Roberts, Art Cashin, James Turk, Eric Sprott, Egon von Greyerz, James Dines, Hugo Salinas Price and Marc Faber are available now. Also, other outstanding recent KWN interviews include Jim Grant and Felix Zulauf to listen CLICKING HERE.


Eric King

KingWorldNews.com

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