In the aftermath of some volatile trading in global markets, is a gambling public about to lose a ton of money again?

From Jason Goepfert at SentimenTrader:  Confidence is nearing all-time highs. In both the Conference Board and University of Michigan surveys of consumer confidence, the readings for March were near the top 90% of all readings since the 1960s.

CONSUMER SURVEYS NEAR ALL-TIME HIGHS

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More troubling is consumers’ attitudes toward stocks. An overwhelming majority are looking for higher stock prices, which has led to mediocre returns in stocks (see chart below).

CONSUMERS’ EXPECTATIONS FOR A BULL MARKET ARE NEAR ALL-TIME HIGHS

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What’s also notable is that while consumers are exceptionally optimistic about stocks, they are feeling the opposite toward bonds…


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Going back to 1988, the only month that saw a wider spread in sentiment between the two markets was February 2000.

Public Wildly Optimistic About Stocks, Pessimistic About Bonds

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The charts and commentary above are from SentimenTrader. To try a free 14-day trial of the internationally acclaimed work that Jason Goepfert produces at SentimenTrader simply CLICK HERE.

***To listen to the extraordinary KWN audio interview with legend Rob Arnott CLICK HERE OR ON THE IMAGE BELOW.

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